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Survey non‐response and the duration of unemployment

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  • Gerard J. Van Den Berg
  • Maarten Lindeboom
  • Peter J. Dolton

Abstract

Summary. Social surveys are often used to estimate unemployment duration distributions. Survey non‐response may then cause a bias. We study this by using a data set that combines survey information of individual workers with administrative records of the same workers. The latter provide information on durations of unemployment and personal characteristics of all survey respondents and non‐respondents. We develop a method to distinguish empirically between two explanations for a bias in results based on only survey data: selectivity due to related unobserved determinants of durations of unemployment and non‐response and a causal effect of a job exit on non‐response. The latter may occur even in fully homogeneous populations. The methodology exploits variation in the timing of the duration outcome relative to the survey moment. The results show evidence for both explanations. We discuss implications for standard methods to deal with non‐response bias.

Suggested Citation

  • Gerard J. Van Den Berg & Maarten Lindeboom & Peter J. Dolton, 2006. "Survey non‐response and the duration of unemployment," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 169(3), pages 585-604, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:jorssa:v:169:y:2006:i:3:p:585-604
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-985X.2006.00422.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Peter Dolton & Donal O'Neill, 2002. "The Long-Run Effects of Unemployment Monitoring and Work-Search Programs: Experimental Evidence from the United Kingdom," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 20(2), pages 381-403, Part.
    2. Peter Dolton & Donal O'Neill, 1996. "The Restart Effect and the Return to Full‐Time Stable Employment," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 159(2), pages 275-288, March.
    3. Ridder, Geert & Tunali, Insan, 1999. "Stratified partial likelihood estimation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 92(2), pages 193-232, October.
    4. Thierry Kamionka & Guy Lacroix, 2003. "Assessing the Impact of Non-Response on the Treatment Effect in the Canadian Self-Sufficiency Experiment," Working Papers 2003-37, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
    5. Gerard J. van den Berg & Maarten Lindeboom & Peter J. Dolton, 2004. "Survey Non-response and Unemployment Duration," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 04-094/3, Tinbergen Institute.
    6. Dolton, Peter & O'Neill, Donal, 1996. "Unemployment Duration and the Restart Effect: Some Experimental Evidence," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 106(435), pages 387-400, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Warnke, Arne Jonas, 2017. "An investigation of record linkage refusal and its implications for empirical research," ZEW Discussion Papers 17-031, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    2. Tobias Gramlich, 2008. "Analyse der Panelausfälle im Sozio-oekonomischen Panel SOEP," SOEPpapers on Multidisciplinary Panel Data Research 129, DIW Berlin, The German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP).
    3. Tadeusz Bednarski, 2014. "On robust causality nonresponse testing in duration studies under the Cox model," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 55(1), pages 221-231, February.

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