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Learning by Owning in a Lemons Market

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  • JORDAN MARTEL
  • KENNETH MIRKIN
  • BRIAN WATERS

Abstract

We study market dynamics when an owner learns about the quality of her asset over time. Since this information is private, the owner sells strategically to a less informed buyer following sufficient negative information. In response, market prices feature a “U‐shape” and trading probabilities a “hump‐shape” with respect to the time to sale. As the owner initially acquires greater information, buyers suffer greater adverse selection, and prices fall accordingly. Eventually, the probability of an informed sale shrinks, and prices rebound. We provide evidence consistent with our model in markets for residential real estate, venture capital investments, and construction equipment.

Suggested Citation

  • Jordan Martel & Kenneth Mirkin & Brian Waters, 2022. "Learning by Owning in a Lemons Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(3), pages 1737-1785, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:77:y:2022:i:3:p:1737-1785
    DOI: 10.1111/jofi.13125
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Matthew Spiegel, 2023. "For corporate finance to truly advance we need more genuinely testable models," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 58(4), pages 657-661, November.

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