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Impact of exchange rate swaps on the dollar coupon curve: an analysis according to principal components regression

Author

Listed:
  • Alessandra Pasqualina Viola

    (PUC-RJ)

  • Margarida Sarmiento Gutierrez

    (COPPEAD-RJ)

  • Claudio Henrique Barbedo

    (IBMEC-RJ)

  • Andre Luiz Carvalhal da Silva

    (PUC-RJ)

Abstract

The objective of this article is to verify, based on balanced portfolio theory, the impact of the offer by the Brazilian Central Bank of exchange rate swaps and reverse swaps on the attributes of the term structure of the effective interest rate on dollar borrowings (the dollar coupon curve). For this purpose, we use linear regression of principal components. As a complementary analysis, we also study the volatility of the dollar coupon curve and the spot exchange rate. The results indicate that the reverse foreign exchange swaps do not generate an impact on the general level of the coupon curve, while the regular swaps generate significant changes.

Suggested Citation

  • Alessandra Pasqualina Viola & Margarida Sarmiento Gutierrez & Claudio Henrique Barbedo & Andre Luiz Carvalhal da Silva, 2013. "Impact of exchange rate swaps on the dollar coupon curve: an analysis according to principal components regression," Brazilian Business Review, Fucape Business School, vol. 10(1), pages 79-101, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:bbz:fcpbbr:v:10:y:2013:i:1:p:79-101
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Felipe Pinheiro & Caio Almeida & José Vicente, 2007. "Um Modelo de Fatores Latentes com Variáveis Macroeconômicas para a Curva de Cupom Cambial," Working Papers Series 148, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    2. Hilde Christiane Bjørnland & Håvard Hungnes, 2002. "Fundamental determinants of the long run real exchange rate: The case of Norway," Discussion Papers 326, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
    3. Getúlio Borges da Silveira & Octavio Bessada, 2003. "Análise de componentes principais de dados funcionais - uma aplicação às estruturas a termo de taxas de juros," Working Papers Series 73, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    4. Corrinne Ho & Robert N. McCauley, 2003. "Living with flexible exchange rates: issues and recent experience in inflation targeting emerging market economies," BIS Working Papers 130, Bank for International Settlements.
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