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Sectoral Nonlinear Causality Between Stock Market Volatility and the COVID-19 Pandemic - Evidence From India

Author

Listed:
  • Debi Bal
  • Seba Mohanty

    (Department of Economics, Birla School of Social Sciences and Humanities, Birla Global University Bhubaneswar, India)

Abstract

This paper examines the linear and nonlinear relationship between daily confirmed COVID-19 cases and sectoral stock market volatility in India. The linear Granger causality test reveals bidirectional causality. Further, we observe that bidirectional nonlinear Granger causality exists between stock market volatility and COVID-19. This implies that the historical and lagged information can have a significant role in predicting COVID-19 cases and the stock market.

Suggested Citation

  • Debi Bal & Seba Mohanty, 2021. "Sectoral Nonlinear Causality Between Stock Market Volatility and the COVID-19 Pandemic - Evidence From India," Asian Economics Letters, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 2(1), pages 1-4.
    • Handle: RePEc:ayb:jrnael:33
    DOI: 2021/08/10
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Scott R Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J Davis & Kyle Kost & Marco Sammon & Tasaneeya Viratyosin & Jeffrey Pontiff, 0. "The Unprecedented Stock Market Reaction to COVID-19," The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 10(4), pages 742-758.
    2. Al-Awadhi, Abdullah M. & Alsaifi, Khaled & Al-Awadhi, Ahmad & Alhammadi, Salah, 2020. "Death and contagious infectious diseases: Impact of the COVID-19 virus on stock market returns," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    3. Diks, Cees & Panchenko, Valentyn, 2006. "A new statistic and practical guidelines for nonparametric Granger causality testing," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 30(9-10), pages 1647-1669.
    4. Paresh Kumar Narayan & Stephan Popp, 2010. "A new unit root test with two structural breaks in level and slope at unknown time," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(9), pages 1425-1438.
    5. Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis & Kyle J. Kost & Marco C. Sammon & Tasaneeya Viratyosin, 2020. "The Unprecedented Stock Market Impact of COVID-19," NBER Working Papers 26945, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Runumi Das & Arabinda Debnath, 2022. "Analyzing the COVID-19 Pandemic Volatility Spillover Influence on the Collaboration of Foreign and Indian Stock Markets," Revista Finanzas y Politica Economica, Universidad Católica de Colombia, vol. 14(2), pages 411-452, June.
    2. Behera, Harendra & Gunadi, Iman & Rath, Badri Narayan, 2023. "COVID-19 uncertainty, financial markets and monetary policy effects in case of two emerging Asian countries," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 173-189.
    3. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2023. "International spillovers of U.S. monetary uncertainty and equity market volatility to China’s stock markets," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    covid-19; volatility; stock market;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • I1 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health

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