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Granger Causality And U.S. Crop And Livestock Prices

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  • Ziemer, Rod F.
  • Collins, Glenn S.

Abstract

Agricultural economists have recently been attracted to procedures suggested by Granger and others which allow observed data to reveal causal relationships. Results of this study indicate that "causality" tests can be ambiguous in identifying behavioral relationships between agricultural price variables. Caution is suggested when using such procedures for model choice.

Suggested Citation

  • Ziemer, Rod F. & Collins, Glenn S., 1984. "Granger Causality And U.S. Crop And Livestock Prices," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 16(1), pages 1-6, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:sojoae:29617
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.29617
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. David A. Bessler & Lee F. Schrader, 1980. "Relationship between Two Price Quotes for Eggs," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 62(4), pages 766-771.
    2. Dale M. Heien, 1980. "Markup Pricing in a Dynamic Model of the Food Industry," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 62(1), pages 10-18.
    3. Spreen, Thomas H. & Shonkwiler, John Scott, 1981. "Causal Relationships In The Fed Cattle Market," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 13(1), pages 1-5, July.
    4. Salathe, Larry E. & Price, J. Michael & Gadson, Kenneth E., 1982. "The Food and Agricultural Policy Simulator," Journal of Agricultural Economics Research, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, vol. 34(2), pages 1-15, April.
    5. Granger, C. W. J., 1980. "Testing for causality : A personal viewpoint," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 2(1), pages 329-352, May.
    6. Enrique R. Arzac & Maurice Wilkinson, 1979. "A Quarterly Econometric Model of United States Livestock and Feed Grain Markets and Some of Its Policy Implications," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 61(2), pages 297-308.
    7. Miller, Steve, 1979. "Univariate Residual Cross Correlation Analysis: An Application To Beef Prices," 1979 Annual Meeting, July 29-August 1, Pullman, Washington 278301, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    8. Jacobs, Rodney L & Leamer, Edward E & Ward, Michael P, 1979. "Difficulties with Testing for Causation," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 17(3), pages 401-413, July.
    9. Collins, Glenn S. & Taylor, C. Robert, 1983. "TECHSIM: A Regional Field Crop and National Livestock Econometric Simulation Model," Journal of Agricultural Economics Research, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, vol. 35(2), pages 1-18, April.
    10. David A. Bessler & Jon A. Brandt, 1982. "Causality Tests in Livestock Markets," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 64(1), pages 140-144.
    11. Belongia, Michael T. & Dickey, David A., 1982. "Prefiltering and Causality Tests," Journal of Agricultural Economics Research, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, vol. 34(4), pages 1-5, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Faruk Urak & Abdulbaki Bilgic & Gürkan Bozma & Wojciech J. Florkowski & Erkan Efekan, 2022. "Volatility in Live Calf, Live Sheep, and Feed Wheat Return Markets: A Threat to Food Price Stability in Turkey," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-24, April.

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