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Is Storage at a Loss Merely an Illusion of Spatial Aggregation?

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Author Info

  • Franken, Jason R.V.
  • Garcia, Philip
  • Irwin, Scott H.

Abstract

The storage-at-a-loss paradox—stocks despite inadequate price growth to cover storage costs—is an unresolved issue of long-standing interest to economists. Alternative explanations include risk premiums for futures market speculators, convenience yields from holding stocks, and mismeasurement/aggregation of data. Statistical analyses of regional and elevator corn and soybean price growth in Illinois suggest limited aggregation effects and reveal a pattern of regional- and elevator-level backwardations in the presence of Illinois corn stocks that is inconsistent with aggregation explanations for storage at a loss. Interviews with elevator managers support the existence of convenience yields.

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File URL: http://purl.umn.edu/90658
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Agricultural Economics Association of Georgia in its journal Journal of Agribusiness.

Volume (Year): 27 (2009)
Issue (Month): ()
Pages:

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Handle: RePEc:ags:jloagb:90658

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Postal: 301 Conner Hall, University of Georgia, Athens, GA 30602-7509
Web page: http://www.agecon.uga.edu/~jab/
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Related research

Keywords: aggregation; convenience yield; corn; intertemporal arbitrage; regional and elevator data; soybeans; storage at a loss; Agribusiness; Marketing;

References

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  1. Williams, Jeffrey C., 2001. "Commodity futures and options," Handbook of Agricultural Economics, in: B. L. Gardner & G. C. Rausser (ed.), Handbook of Agricultural Economics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 13, pages 745-816 Elsevier.
  2. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao & Batts, Ryan M., 2006. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37513, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
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Cited by:
  1. Colin A. Carter & Gordon C. Rausser & Aaron Smith, 2011. "Commodity Booms and Busts," Annual Review of Resource Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 3(1), pages 87-118, October.
  2. Seok, Juheon & Brorsen, B. Wade & Li, Weiping, 2013. "Calendar Spread Options for Storable Commodities," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 150294, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

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