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Wage Rigidity and Employment Outcomes: Evidence from Administrative Data

Author

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  • Gabriel Ehrlich
  • Joshua Montes

Abstract

This paper examines the relationship between downward nominal wage rigidity and employment outcomes using linked employer-employee data. Wage rigidity prevents 27.1 percent of counterfactual wage cuts, with a standard deviation of 19.2 percent across establishments. An establishment with the sample-average level of wage rigidity is predicted to have a 3.3 percentage point higher layoff rate, a 7.4 percentage point lower quit rate, and a 2.0 percentage point lower hire rate. Estimating a structural model by indirect inference implies that the cost of a nominal wage cut is 33 percent of an average worker's annual compensation.

Suggested Citation

  • Gabriel Ehrlich & Joshua Montes, 2024. "Wage Rigidity and Employment Outcomes: Evidence from Administrative Data," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 16(1), pages 147-206, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:aea:aejmac:v:16:y:2024:i:1:p:147-206
    DOI: 10.1257/mac.20200125
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand
    • J31 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials
    • J63 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Turnover; Vacancies; Layoffs
    • M51 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Personnel Economics - - - Firm Employment Decisions; Promotions

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