IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/adp/ijesnr/v25y2020i4p199-209.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Developing Climate Change Projections using Different Representative Concentration Pathways of Emission Scenario In the Case Jimma, Ethiopia

Author

Listed:
  • Moges Molla

    (Ethiopian Environment and Forest Research Institute, Ethiopia)

Abstract

Anthropogenic influence on the climate system is clear, and the recent emissions of greenhouse gases are the highest in history. This particular activity is aimed to project the future climate using different representative concentration pathways of emission scenarios for Jima station. Statistical downscaling approach was used to downscale rainfall and temperature. Predictors were synthesized based on correlation analysis between large scale climate predictors and observed station climate data. Monthly predictors were used to establish a regression model between the predictors and observed climate variables. The regression models were validated against observed station data and were used to generate downscaled future rainfall and temperature. Data for future scenario were collected from the Canadian Centre for Climate Modeling and Analysis (CCCma) of Canada Environment.

Suggested Citation

  • Moges Molla, 2020. "Developing Climate Change Projections using Different Representative Concentration Pathways of Emission Scenario In the Case Jimma, Ethiopia," International Journal of Environmental Sciences & Natural Resources, Juniper Publishers Inc., vol. 25(4), pages 199-209, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:adp:ijesnr:v:25:y:2020:i:4:p:199-209
    DOI: 10.19080/IJESNR.2020.25.556175
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://juniperpublishers.com/ijesnr/pdf/IJESNR.MS.ID.556175.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://juniperpublishers.com/ijesnr/IJESNR.MS.ID.556175.php
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.19080/IJESNR.2020.25.556175?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Richard H. Moss & Jae A. Edmonds & Kathy A. Hibbard & Martin R. Manning & Steven K. Rose & Detlef P. van Vuuren & Timothy R. Carter & Seita Emori & Mikiko Kainuma & Tom Kram & Gerald A. Meehl & John F, 2010. "The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment," Nature, Nature, vol. 463(7282), pages 747-756, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. A. Slangen & M. Carson & C. Katsman & R. van de Wal & A. Köhl & L. Vermeersen & D. Stammer, 2014. "Projecting twenty-first century regional sea-level changes," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 124(1), pages 317-332, May.
    2. Luminda Niroshana Gunawardhana & Ghazi A. Al-Rawas & Ghadeer Al-Hadhrami, 2018. "Quantification of the changes in intensity and frequency of hourly extreme rainfall attributed climate change in Oman," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 92(3), pages 1649-1664, July.
    3. Jlenia Di Noia, 2022. "Agent-Based Models for Climate Change Adaptation in Coastal Zones. A Review," Working Papers 2022.20, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    4. Simon Dietz & Frederick van der Ploeg & Armon Rezai & Frank Venmans, 2021. "Are Economists Getting Climate Dynamics Right and Does It Matter?," Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, University of Chicago Press, vol. 8(5), pages 895-921.
    5. Murray, Portia & Orehounig, Kristina & Grosspietsch, David & Carmeliet, Jan, 2018. "A comparison of storage systems in neighbourhood decentralized energy system applications from 2015 to 2050," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C), pages 1285-1306.
    6. Damian Badora & Rafal Wawer & Anna Nierobca & Aleksandra Krol-Badziak & Jerzy Kozyra & Beata Jurga & Eugeniusz Nowocien, 2022. "Modelling the Hydrology of an Upland Catchment of Bystra River in 2050 Climate Using RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 Emission Scenario Forecasts," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-33, March.
    7. Lu, Shibao & Bai, Xiao & Li, Wei & Wang, Ning, 2019. "Impacts of climate change on water resources and grain production," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 76-84.
    8. Cai, Yiyong & Newth, David & Finnigan, John & Gunasekera, Don, 2015. "A hybrid energy-economy model for global integrated assessment of climate change, carbon mitigation and energy transformation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 381-395.
    9. Ortega, Emilio & Martín, Belén & Aparicio, Ángel, 2020. "Identification of critical sections of the Spanish transport system due to climate scenarios," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    10. Chateau, J. & Dellink, R. & Lanzi, E. & Magne, B., 2012. "Long-term economic growth and environmental pressure: reference scenarios for future global projections," Conference papers 332249, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    11. Qin, Pengcheng & Xu, Hongmei & Liu, Min & Xiao, Chan & Forrest, Kate E. & Samuelsen, Scott & Tarroja, Brian, 2020. "Assessing concurrent effects of climate change on hydropower supply, electricity demand, and greenhouse gas emissions in the Upper Yangtze River Basin of China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 279(C).
    12. Gabriel Bachner & Daniel Lincke & Jochen Hinkel, 2022. "The macroeconomic effects of adapting to high-end sea-level rise via protection and migration," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-13, December.
    13. Clarke, Leon & Krey, Volker & Weyant, John & Chaturvedi, Vaibhav, 2012. "Regional energy system variation in global models: Results from the Asian Modeling Exercise scenarios," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(S3), pages 293-305.
    14. Tamás Hajdu & Gábor Hajdu, 2022. "Temperature, climate change, and human conception rates: evidence from Hungary," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 35(4), pages 1751-1776, October.
    15. Pérez-Andreu, Víctor & Aparicio-Fernández, Carolina & Martínez-Ibernón, Ana & Vivancos, José-Luis, 2018. "Impact of climate change on heating and cooling energy demand in a residential building in a Mediterranean climate," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(PA), pages 63-74.
    16. Lacroix, Denis & Laurent, Louis & de Menthière, Nicolas & Schmitt, Bertrand & Béthinger, Audrey & David, Bernard & Didier, Christophe & Parent du Châtelet, Jacques, 2019. "Multiple visions of the future and major environmental scenarios," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 93-102.
    17. Soares, Pedro M.M. & Lima, Daniela C.A. & Cardoso, Rita M. & Nascimento, Manuel L. & Semedo, Alvaro, 2017. "Western Iberian offshore wind resources: More or less in a global warming climate?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 203(C), pages 72-90.
    18. Antolin, Luís A.S. & Heinemann, Alexandre B. & Marin, Fábio R., 2021. "Impact assessment of common bean availability in Brazil under climate change scenarios," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    19. Michał Burzyński & Frédéric DOCQUIER & Hendrik SCHEEWEL, 2021. "The Geography of Climate Migration," JODE - Journal of Demographic Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 87(3), pages 345-381, September.
    20. Melissa S. Bukovsky & Linda O. Mearns, 2020. "Regional climate change projections from NA-CORDEX and their relation to climate sensitivity," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 162(2), pages 645-665, September.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    earth and environment journals; environment journals; open access environment journals; peer reviewed environmental journals; open access; juniper publishers; ournal of Environmental Sciences; juniper publishers journals ; juniper publishers reivew;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:adp:ijesnr:v:25:y:2020:i:4:p:199-209. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Robert Thomas (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.