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Nachfrageunsicherheit und Risikopolitik im Duopol

Listed author(s):
  • Broll, Udo
  • Pelster, Matthias
  • Wahl, Jack E.
Registered author(s):

    Die vorliegende Arbeit untersucht ein Duopol bei unsicherer Nachfrage unter Risikoaversion. Die Produktion der gesamten Industrie fällt durch die Einführung von Nachfrageunsicherheit; der Marktpreis steigt wegen des schwächeren Wettbewerbs. Damit ist die Veränderung des Gewinns und des erwarteten Nutzens eines Unternehmers nicht eindeutig zu bestimmen. Zwar sinkt der erwartete Nutzen durch die Einführung des Risikos, jedoch kann dieser Effekt durch einen steigenden Gewinn, insbesondere bei wenig risikoaversen Unternehmen, kompensiert werden. Die Einführung eines Terminmarktes mit Basisrisiko kann für ein Unternehmen von Nachteil sein kann, unabhängig davon, ob der Terminmarkt eine perfekte oder imperfekte Absicherungsmöglichkeit bietet. Dies gilt jedoch nur dann, wenn sich der Terminmarkt in Backwardation befindet oder beide Unternehmen Zugang zu dem Terminmarkt erhalten.

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    Paper provided by Technische Universität Dresden, Faculty of Business and Economics, Department of Economics in its series Dresden Discussion Paper Series in Economics with number 02/12.

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    Date of creation: 2012
    Handle: RePEc:zbw:tuddps:0212
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