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Libyens internationalisierter Bürgerkrieg: Umwälzungen nach der Niederlage Khalifa Haftars in Tripoli

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  • Lacher, Wolfram

Abstract

Das Scheitern der Offensive Khalifa Haftars gegen Tripolis verändert den Libyenkonflikt fundamental. Russland und die Türkei versuchen, Einflusszonen abzugrenzen, doch politische Umbrüche in Libyen sowie andere Mächte könnten ihre Pläne durchkreuzen. Im Süden des Landes könnte Haftars Niederlage neue Konflikte hervorrufen, im Osten seine Autorität zunehmend in Frage stellen. Auch unter seinen Gegnern entwickeln sich erneut Machtkämpfe. Die Aussichten für eine Rückkehr zu einem politischen Prozess sind schlecht. Zu groß sind die Hindernisse durch ausländische Intervention, zu tief die gesellschaftlichen Gräben, die der Bürgerkrieg verursacht hat. Für westliche Staaten sollte Priorität haben, Libyens Einheit zu bewahren und den Einfluss Russlands zurückzudrängen.

Suggested Citation

  • Lacher, Wolfram, 2020. "Libyens internationalisierter Bürgerkrieg: Umwälzungen nach der Niederlage Khalifa Haftars in Tripoli," SWP-Aktuell 49/2020, Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP), German Institute for International and Security Affairs.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:swpakt:492020
    DOI: 10.18449/2020A49
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