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Deutsche Konjunktur im Frühjahr 2009

Listed author(s):
  • Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens
  • Boss, Alfred
  • Dovern, Jonas
  • Groll, Dominik
  • Meier, Carsten-Patrick
  • Van Roye, Björn
  • Scheide, Joachim

[Die deutsche Wirtschaft im Sog der Weltrezession] Die Weltkonjunktur ist zum Ende des vergangenen Jahres deutlich stärker eingebrochen als von uns erwartet. Die Rezession in Deutschland wird erheblich tiefer ausfallen als im Dezember angenommen. Wir revidieren unsere Prognose für den Rückgang des realen Bruttoinlandsprodukts im Jahr 2009 von 2,7 auf 3,7 Prozent. Eine Stabilisierung der Produktion erwarten wir erst für das Frühjahr 2010. Im Jahresdurchschnitt dürfte das Bruttoinlandsprodukt nächstes Jahr um 0,1 Prozent sinken (bisherige Prognose: +0,3 Prozent).

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Paper provided by Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) in its series Kiel Discussion Papers with number 463.

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Date of creation: 2009
Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwkdp:463
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