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Challenges ahead: Long-term perspectives of the German economy

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  • Paqué, Karl-Heinz
  • Soltwedel, Rüdiger
  • Schmieding, Holger
  • Hiemenz, Ulrich
  • Langhammer, Rolf J.
  • Klodt, Henning
  • Schrader, Jörg-Volker
  • Scheide, Joachim
  • Horn, Ernst-Jürgen
  • Paqué, Karl-Heinz
  • Boss, Alfred
  • Schmidt, Rainer
  • Neu, Axel D.
  • Böhme, Hans
  • Laaser, Claus-Friedrich

Abstract

Table of Contents: I. External Challenges 12 1. The Transformation of Central and Eastern Europe 12 a. Trends in Central and Eastern Europe's Emerging Market Economies (EMEs) 12 b. The Impact on Germany 14 c. Political Consequences 14 2. Migration Pressures 16 a. The European Perspective 16 b. The German Perspective 18 c. Some Policy Issues 21 3. The Multilateral Trading System 22 a. Rising Tide of Protectionism 22 b. The German Trade Policy Stance 23 c. Perspectives 24 4. Industrial Policy 25 a. The Recent Controversy 25 b. The Record of Interventions 27 c. Future Prospects 28 5. The Adjustment of Agriculture 29 a. Global Prospects 29 b. The Reform of the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) 30 6. European Integration 32 a. Monetary Union 32 b. Financial Markets 34 c. EC Initiatives on Social Policy 36 II. Internal Challenges 40 1. German Unification 40 a. The Rising Fiscal Burden 40 b. Economic Dualization 41 c. Digression: The "Treuhand" Record and Prospects 42 d. New Regional Growth Patterns 43 e. Political Pragmatism 45 2. Demography and the Welfare State 46 a. Facts and Forecasts 46 b. Implications for the Welfare State 50 3. Labour Markets and Collective Bargaining 52 a. Trends and Developments 52 b. The Future of Unionism 53 HI. Resources and Infrastructure 55 1. Energy and the Environment 55 a. Energy and Environmental Policy in the EC and in Germany 55 b. The Eastern German Energy Market and Environmental Targets 57 2. Transport 57 a. General Trends in Europe 57 b. The German Situation 59 c. Policy: Consensus and Controversies 60 d. Supranational Matter: The Role of the EC 61

Suggested Citation

  • Paqué, Karl-Heinz & Soltwedel, Rüdiger & Schmieding, Holger & Hiemenz, Ulrich & Langhammer, Rolf J. & Klodt, Henning & Schrader, Jörg-Volker & Scheide, Joachim & Horn, Ernst-Jürgen & Paqué, Karl-Heinz, 1993. "Challenges ahead: Long-term perspectives of the German economy," Kiel Discussion Papers 202/203, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwkdp:202-203
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Böhme, Hans & Sichelschmidt, Henning, 1994. "Eine Strategie für den öffentlichen Personennahverkehr," Kiel Discussion Papers 227, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    2. Siebert, Horst, 1994. "Integrating the Eastern Länder: How long a transition?," Kiel Discussion Papers 229, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    3. Koopmann, Georg, 1998. "German foreign economic policy in the age of globalisation," HWWA Discussion Papers 56, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWA).
    4. Di Carlo, Donato, 2018. "Does pattern bargaining explain wage restraint in the German public sector?," MPIfG Discussion Paper 18/3, Max Planck Institute for the Study of Societies.
    5. Siebert, Horst, 1993. "German unification and its impact on net savings," Kiel Discussion Papers 216, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    6. Siebert, Horst, 1993. "The big bang with the big brother: German unification in its third year," Kiel Discussion Papers 211, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    7. Paqué, Karl-Heinz, 1993. "East-West-wage rigidity in united Germany: Causes and consequences," Kiel Working Papers 572, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    8. Hiemenz, Ulrich (Ed.) & Gundlach, Erich (Ed.), 1994. "Regional integration in Europe and its effects on developing countries," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 794, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    9. Schmidt, Klaus-Dieter & Naujoks, Petra, 1993. "De-industrialization or re-industrialization? On the future of the Eastern German economy," Kiel Working Papers 576, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    10. Nunnenkamp Peter, 1993. "Worüber die Wirtschaft klagt und wofür sie selbst verantwortlich ist: Unfähige Politik, unternehmerische Prinzipienlosigkeit und der Standort Bundesrepublik," Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik, De Gruyter, vol. 42(1), pages 273-294, April.
    11. Koopmann, Georg, 1998. "German Foreign Economic Policy in the Age of Globalisation," Discussion Paper Series 26395, Hamburg Institute of International Economics.

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