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Bilateral swap agreement and Renminbi settlement in cross-border trade

Author

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  • Song, Ke
  • Xia, Le

Abstract

This research empirically examines the impact of China's Renminbi (RMB) bilateral swap agree-ments (BSAs) on the usage of the currency in cross-border trade transactions. By using a unique dataset from SWIFT including cross-border settlement messages of 91 countries/regions between October 2010 and November 2015, we confirm that the signing of a RMB BSA helps to increase the number, the value and the proportion of RMB settlement in cross-border trade. Our results are robust with respect to the choice of different models, including multi-level mixed model, two-stage regression model, and difference-in-difference model. In addition to justifying the effectiveness of China's BSA-signing strategy to promote the RMB usage in trade settlement, our results clarify that the signing of those RMB BSAs is not purely for China's political ends as some scholars claim.

Suggested Citation

  • Song, Ke & Xia, Le, 2019. "Bilateral swap agreement and Renminbi settlement in cross-border trade," BOFIT Discussion Papers 19/2019, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:bofitp:bdp2019_019
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    2. Zucker-Marques, Marina, 2025. "Currency Internationalization, payment infrastructures and central banks: An institutional analysis of renminbi internationalization," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PA).
    3. Alina Iancu & Gareth Anderson & Sakai Ando & Ethan Boswell & Andrea Gamba & Shushanik Hakobyan & Lusine Lusinyan & Neil Meads & Yiqun Wu, 2022. "Reserve Currencies in an Evolving International Monetary System," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(5), pages 879-915, November.
    4. Zucker Marques, Marina, 2021. "Financial statecraft and transaction costs: The case of renminbi internationalization," Discussion Papers 2021/9, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    5. Han, Han & Liu, Tao & Lu, Dong, 2026. "The announcement effect on international currency choices: Theory and evidence," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    6. Yin-Wong Cheung, 2023. "A decade of RMB internationalisation," Economic and Political Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(1), pages 47-74, January.
    7. Gürcan, Efe Can, 2024. "The multipolar challenge: implications for dollar dominance and the shifting tides of U.S. hegemony," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 127413, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    8. He, Qing & Liu, Junyi & Zhang, Ce, 2021. "Exchange rate exposure and its determinants in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    9. Marina Zucker‐Marques & Pedro Perfeito da Silva, 2022. "The Role of Institutions: A Cross‐country Analysis of Renminbi Trading in Foreign Exchange Markets," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 30(3), pages 42-74, May.

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission

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