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Cumulative Prospect Theory and the St.Petersburg Paradox

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  • Rieger, Marc Oliver

    (Sculola Normale Superiore and University of Zürich)

  • Wang, Mei

    (Sonderforschungsbereich 504)

Abstract

We find that in cumulative prospect theory (CPT) with a concave value function in gains, a lottery with finite expected value may have infinite subjective value. This problem does not occur in expected utility theory. We characterize situations in CPT where the problem can be resolved. In particular, we define a class of admissible probability distributions and admissible parameter regimes for the weighting-- and value functions. In both cases, finiteness of the subjective value can be proved. Alternatively, we suggest a new weighting function for CPT which guarantees finite subjective value for all lotteries with finite expected value, independent of the choice of the value function.

Suggested Citation

  • Rieger, Marc Oliver & Wang, Mei, 2004. "Cumulative Prospect Theory and the St.Petersburg Paradox," Sonderforschungsbereich 504 Publications 04-28, Sonderforschungsbereich 504, Universität Mannheim;Sonderforschungsbereich 504, University of Mannheim.
  • Handle: RePEc:xrs:sfbmaa:04-28
    Note: Financial support from the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft, SFB 504, at the University of Mannheim, is gratefully acknowledged.
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    File URL: http://www.sfb504.uni-mannheim.de/publications/dp04-28.pdf
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