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中国城镇居民住房的需求与供给

Author

Listed:
  • 邹至庄
  • 牛霖琳

Abstract

本文研究了自1980年代后期中国城镇住房商品化以来城镇居民住房的需求与供给。我们从耐用消费品需求与供给的标准理论出发，在联立方程框架下估计城镇住房的需求与供给方程，得到了需求的收入与价格弹性及供给的价格弹性的估计值。通过对1987-2006年全国城镇总体水平年度数据的分析，我们发现城镇住房价格的快速上涨主要可由需求与供给的作用解释，即人均收入和建筑成本的变化决定了房价的整体趋势。城镇住房需求的（长期）收入弹性约为1，需求的价格弹性在0.5到0.6之间。住房存量总供给的价格弹性约为0.83。

Suggested Citation

  • 邹至庄 & 牛霖琳, 2013. "中国城镇居民住房的需求与供给," Working Papers 2013-10-14, Wang Yanan Institute for Studies in Economics (WISE), Xiamen University.
    • Handle: RePEc:wyi:wpaper:002013
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    住房需求、住房供给、联立方程;

    JEL classification:

    • R2 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis
    • C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables

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