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Do Political Actors Engage in Strategic Deception on Social Media?

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Listed:
  • Ricketts, Simon

    (Monash University)

Abstract

We examine whether political actors engage in strategic deception on social media. We find evidence that certain groups of politicians engage in deception in response to an election. To infer deception, we construct a novel wealth inference model from text of political social media accounts. We use machine learning and natural language processing, which is accurate to within half an order of magnitude when compared to real wealth disclosures as required by law in the United States. Wealth exaggeration is not homogenous ; in an election year, the wealthiest political actors minimise their perceived wealth, while the poorest exaggerate their perceived wealth. We do not find evidence that there are differences in exaggeration due to sex, party or experience.

Suggested Citation

  • Ricketts, Simon, 2021. "Do Political Actors Engage in Strategic Deception on Social Media?," Warwick-Monash Economics Student Papers 16, Warwick Monash Economics Student Papers.
  • Handle: RePEc:wrk:wrkesp:16
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    File URL: https://warwick.ac.uk/fac/soc/economics/research/wmesp/manage/16_-_simon_ricketts.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Strategic deception ; wealth-inference ; machine-learning ; natural language processing ; social media ; election JEL Classification: C55 ; D72;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C55 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Large Data Sets: Modeling and Analysis
    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior

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