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Turkiye'de Akaryakit Urunu Fiyat Gelismeleri ve Enflasyon: Yeni Bulgular (= Changes in Prices of Oil Products and Inflation in Turkey: New Evidence)

Author

Listed:
  • Aykut Kibritcioglu

    (Ankara University)

Abstract

Ham petrol ithal fiyatlarindaki degismeler dolayisiyla akaryakit urunlerinin yurtici fiyatlarinda meydana gelen degismelerin Turkiye'deki olasi enflasyonist ve/veya deflasyonist etkileri, Kibritcioglu ve Kibritcioglu (1999) tarafindan kuramsal ve olgusal bilgiler isiginda sematik ve ampirik olarak incelenmistir. Soz konusu calismada, Turkiye’deki sektorel ve genel fiyat duzeyi artislarinin ne olcude ham petrol ithal fiyati ve akaryakit urunlerinin yurtici fiyat artislarindan kaynaklandigi, gerek DIE’nin Turkiye icin hesapladigi 1979, 1985 ve 1990 yili girdi-cikti tablolari, gerekse Ocak 1986 - Mart 1998 donemine ait aylik veriler kullanilarak VAR yontemi yardimiyla arastirilmistir. Bu calismada ise, once, Turkiye icin Ocak 1982 - Ocak 1999 donemine ait genel bir aylik akaryakit urunleri fiyat endeksi (FOPP) olusturularak diger arastirmacilarin kullanimina sunulmaktadir. Bu seri, daha sonra, Kibritcioglu ve Kibritcioglu (1999)'u izleyerek bir VAR modeli hesaplamasinda kullanilmaktadir. Burada ulasilan sonuclar, yukaridaki calismanin bulgularini destekleyici niteliktedir. Turkiye'deki enflasyonun olusumu ve surmesinde ham petrol ithal ve akaryakit urunu fiyat gelismelerinin rolu sinirli gozukmektedir. (This abstract and the paper are in Turkish. Version: May 1999)

Suggested Citation

  • Aykut Kibritcioglu, 2003. "Turkiye'de Akaryakit Urunu Fiyat Gelismeleri ve Enflasyon: Yeni Bulgular (= Changes in Prices of Oil Products and Inflation in Turkey: New Evidence)," Macroeconomics 0306005, EconWPA.
  • Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpma:0306005
    Note: Type of Document - MSWord/PDF; prepared on PC; to print on any printer; pages: 50 ; figures: included
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Inflation; imported inflation thesis; crude-oil prices; petroleum prices; VAR analysis; Turkey;

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • F40 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - General
    • L70 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Primary Products and Construction - - - General
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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