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Simple Trading Rules: Trading On Ibex At Meff

Author

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  • Fernando Rubio

    (FERNCAPITAL S.A.)

Abstract

Several trading rules are analyzed using all daily returns on every Ibex future contracts, since market data from MEFF was available on April 20th, 1992 till March 31st, 2000. The analyses are: calendar anomalies and technical indicators based on moving averages. In an informal test, results are contrasted with the return of a simple of buy-and-hold strategy. Results show that if the investor follows the analyzed trading strategies, he or she will get a better return than the index in a up- market but a significant worst return in a down-market. So, finally, indexing is the best option compared with these trading strategies. In a formal test, signals from these rules are included in an OLS model trying to explain daily returns. Results show that signals can no explain the variance of returns. Finally, it is concluded that the market it is efficient because there is no proof that the contrary could be happening.

Suggested Citation

  • Fernando Rubio, 2004. "Simple Trading Rules: Trading On Ibex At Meff," Finance 0402001, EconWPA, revised 28 Jul 2005.
  • Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpfi:0402001
    Note: Type of Document - pdf; prepared on WinXP; pages: 17
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    File URL: http://econwpa.repec.org/eps/fin/papers/0402/0402001.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Spain; Ibex; futures; trading; MEFF; strategies;

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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