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American Business Cycle Volatility in Historical Perspective: Revised Estimates of Real GDP, 1869-1913


  • Siegler, M.V.


This paper examines the magnitude and timing of American business cycles from 1869 to 1928, with particular emphasis on the pre-World War I period. A new real output series is constructed which resurrects the conclusion that pre-World War I business cycles were twice as severe as post-World War II business cycles.

Suggested Citation

  • Siegler, M.V., 1998. "American Business Cycle Volatility in Historical Perspective: Revised Estimates of Real GDP, 1869-1913," Department of Economics Working Papers 184, Department of Economics, Williams College.
  • Handle: RePEc:wil:wileco:184

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Yannis Bakos & Erik Brynjolfsson, 1999. "Bundling Information Goods: Pricing, Profits, and Efficiency," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 45(12), pages 1613-1630, December.
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    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • N11 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations - - - U.S.; Canada: Pre-1913


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