Modelling the Hidden Economy and the Tax-Gap in New Zealand
This paper develops and estimates a structural, latent variable, model for the hidden economy in New Zealand, and a separate currency-demand model. The estimated latent variable model is used to generate an historical time-series index of hidden economic activity, which is calibrated via the information from the currency-demand model. Special attention is paid to data non-stationarity, and diagnostic testing. The size of the hidden economy is found to vary between 6.8% and 11.3% of measured GDP. This, in turn, implies that the total tax-gap is of the order of 6.4% to 10.2% of total tax liability in that country, though of course not all of this foregone revenue would be recoverable.
|Date of creation:||20 Feb 1999|
|Publication status:||Forthcoming in "Empirical Economics", 1999.|
|Note:||ISSN 1485-6441. Earlier versions of this paper was released as University of Victoria Department of Economics Discussion Paper 97-8, April 1997, and UVic EWP9807, EWP9810.|
|Contact details of provider:|| Postal: PO Box 1700, STN CSC, Victoria, BC, Canada, V8W 2Y2|
Web page: http://web.uvic.ca/econ
More information through EDIRC
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:vic:vicewp:9905. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Graham Voss)
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.