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Bayesian Fuzzy Regression Analysis and Model Selection: Theory and Evidence

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Abstract

In this study we suggest a Bayesian approach to fuzzy clustering analysis – the Bayesian fuzzy regression. Bayesian Posterior Odds analysis is employed to select the correct number of clusters for the fuzzy regression analysis. In this study, we use a natural conjugate prior for the parameters, and we find that the Bayesian Posterior Odds provide a very powerful tool for choosing the number of clusters. The results from a Monte Carlo experiment and three illustrative applications with economic data are very encouraging.

Suggested Citation

  • Hui Feng & David E. Giles, 2009. "Bayesian Fuzzy Regression Analysis and Model Selection: Theory and Evidence," Econometrics Working Papers 0903, Department of Economics, University of Victoria.
  • Handle: RePEc:vic:vicewp:0903
    Note: ISSN 1485-6441
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    File URL: https://www.uvic.ca/socialsciences/economics/_assets/docs/econometrics/ewp0903.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Hui Feng, 2011. "Forecasting comparison between two nonlinear models: fuzzy regression versus SETAR," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(17), pages 1623-1627.

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    JEL classification:

    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General
    • C6 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling
    • C8 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs
    • C90 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - General

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