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Disaster-induced import dynamics: Evidence from South African floods

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  • Marina Dodlova
  • Justyna Jantos
  • Krisztina Kis-Katos
  • Anna Kochanova

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of floods on regional import dynamics in South Africa. Floods can disrupt firms' production activities and thereby hinder their participation in import markets. At the same time, firms may increase imports to compensate for disruptions in domestic supply networks. We study these opposing adjustment mechanisms using administrative firm-level data combined with detailed customs transactions records from South Africa.

Suggested Citation

  • Marina Dodlova & Justyna Jantos & Krisztina Kis-Katos & Anna Kochanova, 2026. "Disaster-induced import dynamics: Evidence from South African floods," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2026-28, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    • Handle: RePEc:unu:wpaper:wp-2026-28
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