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Las exportaciones uruguayas y el tipo de cambio real: un análisis sectorial a través de modelos VECM- 1993-2010

Author

Listed:
  • Alvaro Brunini

    (Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y de Administración. Instituto de Economí­a)

  • Gabriela Mordecki

    (Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y de Administración. Instituto de Economí­a)

Abstract

Here we analyze the relationship between the Uruguayan exports: beef, dairy, chemicals and plastics, and the sectorial real exchange rate (TCRES), from January-93 to December-09 studying the possible cointegration between the variables. The results differ across sectors analyzed. International demand was silgnificant in all models. Upon disposal, most of the TCRES became significant with the expected sign, except plastic exports. This would not be checking at least in these cases, the theoretical relationship between increases on exports and improved competitiveness as measured by the real exchange rate. This raises new questions and an extensive agenda for future work.

Suggested Citation

  • Alvaro Brunini & Gabriela Mordecki, 2011. "Las exportaciones uruguayas y el tipo de cambio real: un análisis sectorial a través de modelos VECM- 1993-2010," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers) 11-13, Instituto de Economía - IECON.
    • Handle: RePEc:ulr:wpaper:dt-13-11
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    File URL: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/4202
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    Cited by:

    1. Palazzo, Gabriel & Rapetti, Martín, 2023. "From macro to micro and macro back: Macroeconomic trade elasticities in a developing economy," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 223-252.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exportaciones; Tipo de cambio real sectorial; Competitividad;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F19 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Other
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • O24 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Trade Policy; Factor Movement; Foreign Exchange Policy

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