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Las exportaciones uruguayas y el tipo de cambio real: un análisis sectorial a través de modelos VECM- 1993-2010

Listed author(s):
  • Alvaro Brunini


    (Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y de Administración. Instituto de Economía)

  • Gabriela Mordecki


    (Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y de Administración. Instituto de Economía)

Here we analyze the relationship between the Uruguayan exports: beef, dairy, chemicals and plastics, and the sectorial real exchange rate (TCRES), from January-93 to December-09 studying the possible cointegration between the variables. The results differ across sectors analyzed. International demand was silgnificant in all models. Upon disposal, most of the TCRES became significant with the expected sign, except plastic exports. This would not be checking at least in these cases, the theoretical relationship between increases on exports and improved competitiveness as measured by the real exchange rate. This raises new questions and an extensive agenda for future work.

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Paper provided by Instituto de Economía - IECON in its series Documentos de Trabajo (working papers) with number 11-13.

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Length: 36 pages
Date of creation: Dec 2011
Handle: RePEc:ulr:wpaper:dt-13-11
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