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Innovation and Emissions in Europe

Author

Listed:
  • Ronald B. Davies

Abstract

Innovation is widely believed to play an important role in addressing climate change. Nevertheless, estimating such effects is difficult due to the endogeneity of innovation measures. I use a novel shift-share instrument building from cross-border patent citations to deal with this endogeneity. Using data for 27 European countries across 20 manufacturing industries from 1995-2019, I find evidence of significant endogeneity bias that overstates the causal effect of patents on emissions. Further, if anything, it seems that new non-green patents may increase emissions. This then suggests that relying on new technologies alone to solve the climate crisis is potentially ineffective.

Suggested Citation

  • Ronald B. Davies, 2025. "Innovation and Emissions in Europe," Working Papers 202523, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
  • Handle: RePEc:ucn:wpaper:202523
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10197/31892
    File Function: First version, 2025
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • O31 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Innovation and Invention: Processes and Incentives
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • Q55 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environmental Economics: Technological Innovation

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