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Have you eaten? The long-run impact of the Great Leap Famine on recent trade

Author

Listed:
  • Zilong Li
  • X. (Xi) Chen
  • Zuzanna Studnicka

Abstract

This paper estimates the long-run transmission of the Great Leap Famine (1959-61) to the current trade of Chinese provinces. Based on the provincial dispersion of famine severity, we find that provinces more severely affected by the famine have smaller food exports compared to non-food exports, even after over forty years. We present several potential channels including food consumption patterns and risk-related domestic bias, to explain the observed lower food exports in those areas that experienced more intense famine. This study adds to the literature on the effects of the Great Leap Famine and contributes to research on the long-term impacts of historical events on trade.

Suggested Citation

  • Zilong Li & X. (Xi) Chen & Zuzanna Studnicka, 2024. "Have you eaten? The long-run impact of the Great Leap Famine on recent trade," Working Papers 202418, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
    • Handle: RePEc:ucn:wpaper:202418
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10197/27931
    File Function: First version, 2024
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • N55 - Economic History - - Agriculture, Natural Resources, Environment and Extractive Industries - - - Asia including Middle East
    • N75 - Economic History - - Economic History: Transport, International and Domestic Trade, Energy, and Other Services - - - Asia including Middle East
    • O24 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Trade Policy; Factor Movement; Foreign Exchange Policy
    • Q17 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agriculture in International Trade

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