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Comportamiento caótico en las series del tipo de cambio peseta-dolar

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Abstract

En este trabajo se muestran algunos contrastes de la presencia de caos determinista en las series de tipo de cambio peseta-dólar estadounidense, al contado y a futuros a uno y tres meses, con datos diarios correspondientes al período enero 1985 - mayo 1991. La detección de un comportamiento caótico en las series analizadas nos permite, como una derivación del análisis anterior, la realización de predicciones a corto plazo que resultan, en general, superiores a las del modelo de paseo aleatorio.

Suggested Citation

  • Oscar Bajo Rubio & Fernando Fernández Rodríguez & Simón Javier Sosvilla Rivero, 1992. "Comportamiento caótico en las series del tipo de cambio peseta-dolar," Documentos de trabajo de la Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales 92-08, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales.
  • Handle: RePEc:ucm:doctra:92-08
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