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Sinopsis: Estrategias de Atribución Causal: Síntesis metodológica - Sinopsis de la evaluación de impacto n° 6

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  • Patricia Rogers

Abstract

Uno de los aspectos esenciales de la evaluación de impacto es que no solo mide o describe los cambios que han ocurrido, sino que también procura entender la función de determinadas intervenciones (es decir, programas o políticas) en la generación de estos cambios. Este proceso se conoce como atribución causal. Existen tres estrategias generales de atribución causal en las evaluaciones de impacto: 1) estimar lo contrafáctico; 2) comprobar la coherencia de las pruebas empíricas respecto a las relaciones causales explicitadas en la teoría del cambio; y 3) descartar explicaciones alternativas mediante un proceso con base empírica lógico. La estrategia más adecuada para la atribución causal depende del contexto de evaluación, así como de lo que se está evaluando.

Suggested Citation

  • Patricia Rogers, 2014. "Sinopsis: Estrategias de Atribución Causal: Síntesis metodológica - Sinopsis de la evaluación de impacto n° 6," Papers innpub763, Methodological Briefs.
    • Handle: RePEc:ucf:metbri:innpub763
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