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Présentation des stratégies d'attribution causale : Note méthodologique - Évaluation d'impact n° 6

Author

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  • Patricia Rogers

Abstract

L’un des éléments essentiels d’une évaluation d’impact est qu’il ne s’agit pas seulement de mesurer ou de décrire les changements survenus, mais également de comprendre le rôle joué par certaines interventions particulières (programmes ou politiques) dans ces changements. Ce processus est appelé attribution causale. Il existe trois grandes stratégies d’attribution causale dans les évaluations d’impact : 1) l’estimation du scénario contrefactuel ; 2) la vérification de la cohérence des données probantes pour les relations de cause à effet explicitement exposées dans la théorie du changement ; et 3) l’exclusion d’autres explications par le biais d’un processus logique fondé sur des données probantes. La stratégie d’attribution causale la mieux adaptée dépend du contexte d’évaluation et de ce qui est évalué.

Suggested Citation

  • Patricia Rogers, 2014. "Présentation des stratégies d'attribution causale : Note méthodologique - Évaluation d'impact n° 6," Papers innpub760, Methodological Briefs.
    • Handle: RePEc:ucf:metbri:innpub760
    as

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