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Estructura productiva, cambio técnico y empleo: Un análisis de prospectiva para la economía española

Author

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  • Carlos Iglesias Fernández
  • Raquel Llorente Heras

Abstract

A partir del estudio de las modificaciones acaecidas en la estructura productiva española, de los procesos de cambio técnico en curso, y de las implicaciones de ambos hechos sobre la estructura sectorial del empleo, el trabajo realiza un análisis de prospectiva, horizonte 2003, respecto a cual puede ser la futura estructura productiva y los requerimientos de empleo que se derivarán de la misma, si se mantienen los cambios en curso. Para ello utilizan las Tablas Input-Output de la economía española de 1987 y 1995, así como los datos de la Encuesta de Población Activa correspondientes a los segundos trimestres de ambos años. El ejercicio de propectiva supone la aplicación de una metodología input-output dinámica para predecir las relaciones existentes entre la demanda intermedia, la producción, los consumos intermedios totales y la demanda de empleo por sectores.

Suggested Citation

  • Carlos Iglesias Fernández & Raquel Llorente Heras, 2000. "Estructura productiva, cambio técnico y empleo: Un análisis de prospectiva para la economía española," Working Papers 06/00, Instituto Universitario de Análisis Económico y Social.
  • Handle: RePEc:uae:wpaper:0600
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    File URL: http://www3.uah.es/iaes/publicaciones/DT_06_00.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2000
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Salais, Robert & Storper, Michael, 1992. "The Four 'Worlds' of Contemporary Industry," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 16(2), pages 169-193, June.
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