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Estructura productiva, cambio técnico y empleo: Un análisis de prospectiva para la economía española

Author

Listed:
  • Carlos Iglesias Fernández
  • Raquel Llorente Heras

Abstract

A partir del estudio de las modificaciones acaecidas en la estructura productiva española, de los procesos de cambio técnico en curso, y de las implicaciones de ambos hechos sobre la estructura sectorial del empleo, el trabajo realiza un análisis de prospectiva, horizonte 2003, respecto a cual puede ser la futura estructura productiva y los requerimientos de empleo que se derivarán de la misma, si se mantienen los cambios en curso. Para ello utilizan las Tablas Input-Output de la economía española de 1987 y 1995, así como los datos de la Encuesta de Población Activa correspondientes a los segundos trimestres de ambos años. El ejercicio de propectiva supone la aplicación de una metodología input-output dinámica para predecir las relaciones existentes entre la demanda intermedia, la producción, los consumos intermedios totales y la demanda de empleo por sectores.

Suggested Citation

  • Carlos Iglesias Fernández & Raquel Llorente Heras, 2000. "Estructura productiva, cambio técnico y empleo: Un análisis de prospectiva para la economía española," Working Papers 06/00, Instituto Universitario de Análisis Económico y Social.
    • Handle: RePEc:uae:wpaper:0600
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    Cited by:

    1. Clemente Polo & Vicente Ramos & Javier Rey-Maquieira & María Tugores & Elisabeth Valle, 2008. "The Potential Effects of a Change in the Distribution of Tourism Expenditure on Employment," Tourism Economics, , vol. 14(4), pages 709-725, December.

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