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From the Pulpit to the Polls: The Electoral Consequences of Christian Talk Radio

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  • Michael McRae

    (Department of Economics, Trinity College Dublin)

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of Salem Communications' rapid expansion of Christian- conservative radio on voter turnout and Republican vote share in U.S. presidential elections. Leveraging data on station acquisitions, technical specifications, and local topography, I identify exogenous variation in radio signal strength using a strategy adapted from Olken (2009). I construct counterfactual signal-strength measures for each county in the absence of terrain obstacles and compare them to observed re-ception, thereby isolating the portion of Salem's broadcasts plausibly unrelated to underlying political trends. Linking these signal data to county-level voting records and measures of evangelical congregations, I find that increased Salem exposure is as- sociated with a statistically significant rise in the Republican share of the vote. Results suggest that areas with sizeable evangelical populations are more sensitive to conser- vative radio programming, revealing the role religiously oriented media can play in political mobilisation. By highlighting how regulatory changes, particularly the end of the Fairness Doctrine and the 1996 Telecommunications Act, enabled the proliferation of partisan radio networks, the findings contribute to a broader literature on media influence, religious mobilisation, and electoral behaviour.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael McRae, 2025. "From the Pulpit to the Polls: The Electoral Consequences of Christian Talk Radio," Trinity Economics Papers tep1325, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:tcd:tcduee:tep1325
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    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • L82 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Entertainment; Media
    • Z12 - Other Special Topics - - Cultural Economics - - - Religion

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