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Para Politikasi, Parasal Buyuklukler ve Kuresel Mali Kriz Sonrasi Gelismeler

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  • K. Azim Ozdemir

Abstract

Bu calismada, parasal buyukluklerin para politikasindaki rolune dair yasanan teorik ve ampirik tartismalara isik tutulmaya calisilmaktadir. Kuresel mali kriz sonrasi gelismeler de bu kapsamda degerlendirilerek bu tartismadaki onemi vurgulanmaktadir. Diger yandan parasal buyuklukleri para politikalari stratejilerine entegre edebilmis ulkerin para politikalari incelenerek, Turkiye’de parasal buyukluklerden daha fazla faydalanabilmenin yollari aranmaktadir. Yaptigimiz analizler, Turkiye’de genis para kullanilarak (M2Y) hesaplanan gelir dolanim hizinin uzun vadeli egiliminin tahmin edilebilir oldugunu gostermektedir. Parasal buyume orani ve enflasyon arasinda istikrarli bir iliskinin varligina isaret eden bu bulgu, Turkiye için fiyat istikrariyla tutarli parasal buyume oraninin hesaplanmasina imkan vermesi nedeniyle onemlidir. Ayni zamanda elde ettigimiz sonuclar, parasal buyume dinamiklerinin bu orandan sapmalarinin kalici olmasinin ekonomide olusmakta olan mali dengesizliklere ve enflasyonist risklere isaret edebilecegini gostermektedir.

Suggested Citation

  • K. Azim Ozdemir, 2009. "Para Politikasi, Parasal Buyuklukler ve Kuresel Mali Kriz Sonrasi Gelismeler," Working Papers 0905, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  • Handle: RePEc:tcb:wpaper:0905
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    Keywords

    Parasal Buyuklukler; Kuresel Mali Kriz; Miktar Genisletmesi; Paranin Dolanim Hizi;

    JEL classification:

    • E40 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - General
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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