2001 ve 2008 Krizleri Sonrasi Issizlik Orani Gelismeleri

[TR] Turkiye’de issizlik oranlari 2001 ve 2008 krizlerinin etkisiyle kisa sure icinde hizli bir sekilde artmistir. Issizlik orani 2001 krizini takip eden donemde sinirli oranda azalirken, 2008 krizi sonrasinda hizla gerileyerek, gecmis donemlerdeki seviyesinin altina inmistir. Bu notta issizlik oranin bu egilimini belirleyen dinamikler (istihdam, isgucu ve isgucunun tarim-tarim disi dagilimi) 2001 krizi sonrasiyla da karsilastirilarak incelenmistir. Analiz sonucunda, donemsel olarak farkli egilimler gosteren issizlik orani uzerinde istihdamin yani sira isgucu hareketlerinin de kayda deger yansimalari oldugu gozlenmistir. Ayrica, soz konusu donemlerde istihdam artislarindaki farklilasmada istihdamin buyume esnekligindeki degisimin de etkili oldugu gorulmustur. [EN] Unemployment rate in Turkey increased sharply during the 2001 and 2008 crises. While the unemployment rate followed a relatively flat pattern after the 2001 crisis, it decreased rapidly in the aftermath of 2008 crisis and fell below its former levels. In this note, dynamics of this tendency in unemployment is analyzed in comparison with the post 2001 crisis period, by decomposing the impact coming from employment, labor force and its sectoral (agriculture/ non-agriculture) allocation. The results indicate that the contribution of labor force to the change in the trend of unemployment is significant as well as that of employment. We also find that the elasticity of employment with respect to output in the corresponding periods affected the growth rate of employment