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Italie : une faible lueur au bout du tunnel

Listed author(s):
  • Céline Antonin

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

Fin 2012, l’Italie a réussi à ramener son déficit budgétaire à 3 % du PIB et à respecter ses engagements européens. La réduction du déficit est pourtant lente si l’on tient compte de l’ampleur de l’impulsion budgétaire : en raison d’un multiplicateur supérieur à 1, la réduction du déficit de 0,8 points en 2012 a nécessité une impulsion négative de 3 points de PIB. Ainsi, la purge budgétaire s’est faite au prix d’une forte récession : au deuxième trimestre 2013, l’Italie a enregistré son huitième trimestre consécutif de baisse du PIB. Au premier semestre 2013, la consommation privée a fortement chuté (-3,3 %) de même que l’investissement ; seule le commerce extérieur a permis d’amortir la baisse de PIB, mais seulement par le canal de la chute des importations (...).

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File URL: http://spire.sciencespo.fr/hdl:/2441/6ggbvnr6munghes9oashm8m15/resources/article-11.pdf
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Paper provided by Sciences Po in its series Sciences Po publications with number info:hdl:2441/6ggbvnr6munghes9oashm8m15.

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Date of creation: Oct 2013
Publication status: Published in Revue de l'OFCE - Analyse et prévisions, 2013, pp.205-213
Handle: RePEc:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/6ggbvnr6munghes9oashm8m15
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