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Asie : l’ombre chinoise

Author

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  • Eric Heyer

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (OFCE))

Abstract

En 2003, malgré l’épidémie de SRAS, les incertitudes économiques, le risque de déflation et la menace terroriste, la croissance de la zone devrait être proche de celle de l’an passé (6 %). Les pertes enregistrées au cours du premier semestre seraient compensées par une politique budgétaire axée sur la dépense publique et des exonérations fiscales, combinée à une politique monétaire accommodante et une stratégie de change agressive, un dynamisme des échanges lié à la reprise attendue dans la deuxième partie de l’année aux États-Unis, où les pays d’Asie de l’est écoulent entre 20 et 30 % de leurs exportations et à l’amélioration de la situation conjoncturelle au Japon.

Suggested Citation

  • Eric Heyer, 2003. "Asie : l’ombre chinoise," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/1927, Sciences Po.
    • Handle: RePEc:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/1927
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asie; Croissance; Chine;
    All these keywords.

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