IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/sin/wpaper/23-a002.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

News or Animal Spirits? Consumer Confidenceand and Economic Activity: Redux

Author

Abstract

Barsky and Sims (2012, AER) demonstrated, via indirect inference, that confidence in-novations can be viewed as noisy signals about medium-term economic growth. They high-lighted that the connection between confidence and subsequent activity, such as consumption and output, is primarily driven by news shocks about the future. We expand upon their research in two significant ways. First, we incorporate the Great Recession and ZLB episodes, and second, we employ unique state-level data to offer insights into how to interpret the relationship between consumer confidence and economic activity. Our results confirm the main finding of Barsky and Sims (2012) that this relationship is predominantly driven bynews about the future.

Suggested Citation

  • Sangyyup Choi & Jaehun Jeong & Dohyeon Park & Donghoon Yoo, 2023. "News or Animal Spirits? Consumer Confidenceand and Economic Activity: Redux," IEAS Working Paper : academic research 23-A002, Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan.
    • Handle: RePEc:sin:wpaper:23-a002
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econ.sinica.edu.tw/pdfjs/full?file=/1/archives/7b98969f03f50de3#zoom=115&pagemode=thumbs
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sin:wpaper:23-a002. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: HsiaoyunLiu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/sinictw.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.