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The relationship between Economic Growth, Exports and Government Expenditure: The case of Turkey

Author

Listed:
  • Fatih OKUR

    (Social Sciences)

  • Özgür Bayram SOYLU

    (Social Sciences)

Abstract

The aim of this study, to analyze the relationship between economic growth, exports and government expenditures in the period of 1980-2013; to test If export-led growth hypothesis holds in Turkey. In this analyze, ADF unit root, Johansen Co-integration and Granger Causality tests are used. According to ADF unit root test, all the variables are stationary in their first levels. Johansen Co-integration results show that there is a long-run relationship between economic growth, exports and government expenditure. Because there is co-integration between the variables, VECM is used to test causality. Empirical results show that there is a unidirectional causality which runs from export to economic growth in the short-run period. In the long-run period, While it is found that the causality runs as bidirectional between economic growth and government expenditure, there is a unidirectional causality which runs from export to economic growth and government expenditure.

Suggested Citation

  • Fatih OKUR & Özgür Bayram SOYLU, 2015. "The relationship between Economic Growth, Exports and Government Expenditure: The case of Turkey," Proceedings of International Academic Conferences 1003844, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
    • Handle: RePEc:sek:iacpro:1003844
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    File URL: https://iises.net/proceedings/international-academic-conference-rome/table-of-content/detail?cid=10&iid=136&rid=3844
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    Keywords

    Economic Growth; Export; Government Expenditure; VECM; Causality;
    All these keywords.

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