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Estimating Multi-country VAR models

  • Matteo Ciccarelli

    ()

    (European Central Bank)

  • Fabio Canova

    (ICREA, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, CREI and CEPR)

This paper describes a methodology to estimate the coefficients, to test specification hypotheses and to conduct policy exercises in multi-country VAR models with cross unit interdependencies, unit specific dynamics and time variations in the coefficients. The framework of analysis is Bayesian: a prior flexibly reduces the dimensionality of the model and puts structure on the time variations; MCMC methods are used to obtain posterior distributions; and marginal likelihoods to check the fit of various specifications. Impulse responses and conditional forecasts are obtained with the output of MCMC routine. The transmission of certain shocks across G7 countries is analyzed

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Paper provided by Society for Computational Economics in its series Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 with number 478.

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Date of creation: 04 Jul 2006
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Handle: RePEc:sce:scecfa:478
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  26. Canova, Fabio & Marrinan, Jane, 1998. "Sources and propagation of international output cycles: Common shocks or transmission?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(1), pages 133-166, October.
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