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On the Possibility of Informationally Efficient Markets

Author

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  • David Goldbaum

Abstract

In a dynamic asset pricing model informed traders receive a noisy signal of the value of a risky asset while uninformed traders learn to extract the information from the price. The relative popularity of the two strategies depends on past performance. An "intensity of choice" parameter is endogenous, reflecting the traders" confidence in selecting the better of the two strategies. The asymptotic properties of the model depend on the evolutionary process for modeling relative popularity. It also depends on how the treatment of the convergence of the model as the popularity of being informed declines towards zero. It is possible to create prices that are arbitrarily close to perfect efficient

Suggested Citation

  • David Goldbaum, 2004. "On the Possibility of Informationally Efficient Markets," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 139, Society for Computational Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:sce:scecf4:139
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Market Efficiency; Asset Pricing; Learning;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • C62 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Existence and Stability Conditions of Equilibrium
    • D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design

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