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Foreign shocks and the volatility of the ISEQ

Author

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  • Donal Bredin
  • Caroline Gavin
  • Gerard O'Reilly

Abstract

We investigate the influence of foreign monetary policy decisions on the volatility of the Irish stock market. Specifically, we examine the influence of US monetary policy announcements on the ISEQ. We find evidence of the so called calm before the storm i.e. there appears to be a decline in volatility on the day prior to an FOMC meeting and a subsequent increase in volatility after the results of such meetings are made known. We also find evidence to suggest that ISEQ volatility is influenced by surprise changes in US monetary policy. Moreover, US monetary surprises appear to affect Irish stock return volatility asymmetrically. In particular, higher than expected US federal funds, tend to increase Irish stock return volatility. This paper represents an important step in addressing the issues of spillover identification between the US and the Irish stock market.

Suggested Citation

  • Donal Bredin & Caroline Gavin & Gerard O'Reilly, 2004. "Foreign shocks and the volatility of the ISEQ," Centre for Financial Markets Working Papers 10197/1182, Research Repository, University College Dublin.
    • Handle: RePEc:rru:cfmwps:10197/1182
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10197/1182
    File Function: First version, 2004
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