Evaluation of the effectiveness of the organization of grain production in unused farmland[Оценка Эффективности Организации Производства Зерна На Неиспользуемых Сельхозугодьях]

It has been shown that in the long term, the presence of unused farmland on the northern border of the grain belt of European Russia will contribute to the development of grain production, but this process will, firstly, be gradual and involve relatively small areas, and secondly, it will have the necessary prerequisite for using optimal tools agrarian policy, among which the support of research and development works is coming to the fore. An assessment of the effectiveness of grain sales in a given territory, including by type, and for wheat, by class, is given for the two studied scenarios for involving unused agricultural land (in the absence and with scientific and technological progress) in comparison with the fact. The research methodology is based on the use of two mathematical models, one of which calculates the optimal agrarian policy for the future of 25 years while maintaining equilibrium conditions in the markets of grain, potatoes and the rest of crop production, the other reproduces the behavior of the aggregate agricultural organizations by maximizing the marginal income for non-parametric production capacities for 24 products of agriculture.