Forecasting the Need for Budget Funds in the Implementation of Reforms in the Education System[Прогнозирование Потребности В Бюджетных Средствах При Реализации Реформ В Системе Образования]

This paper builts a system of forecasts for the budget financing of the education system and its levels, as well as tasks to be solved in this area. Three scenarios for the development of education up to 2024 are presented, the consequences and risks of their implementation are determined. It is shown that the main beneficiaries in obtaining budget funds in the forecast period are pre-school and general education. Secondary vocational education loses in budget financing in almost all variants of the forecast. With regard to the risks of the development of the education system, it's primarily related to the underfunding of educational programs for teachers, without which it is impossible either to update the content of education, or to include new educational technologies in the educational process, as well as a weak growth in real terms of budget expenditures for applied scientific research in the field of education, since it is scientific research that should determine the direction of reforming the various levels of education and New mechanisms for managing education in changing socio-economic conditions, to set an adequate update of the content of general and professional education.