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Learning in Trade Negotiations?: An Experimental Study

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  • Sung, Hankyoung

    (University of Seoul)

Abstract

The purpose of this paper identifies learning in games in the experimental economic settings, and applies their results on real multilateral trade negotiations. This paper argues that structure of games including a veto player (Veto games) are similar to real multilateral trade negotiations in that the players do not possess identical power. This paper's main contribution involves showing that learning on power is dominant over learning on theory in Veto games. More importantly, this paper shows that players are concerned about how much they have gained in previous games in Veto games, although their memories generally do not last beyond the next game, and thus they tend to be selfish as they have less shares. Based on these results, it sees the possibility to be more generous in distribution of benefits; allowing players without veto power to retain special rights so that they would not be totally powerless, necessity of having 'respite' in the process of negotiations, and policy options for choosing partners for winning coalitions.

Suggested Citation

  • Sung, Hankyoung, 2010. "Learning in Trade Negotiations?: An Experimental Study," Working Papers 10-7, Korea Institute for International Economic Policy.
  • Handle: RePEc:ris:kiepwp:2010_007
    DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2489777
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Trade Policy; Multilateral Trade Negotiations; Veto; Trade Negotiations; Delay;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C70 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - General
    • C78 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Bargaining Theory; Matching Theory
    • D70 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - General
    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior

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