IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/red/sed006/597.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Consumption, wealth, and expected asset returns in the United States. Implications of housing wealth and housing consumption

Author

Listed:
  • Andrea Finicelli

Abstract

Using US quarterly post-war data, this paper documents the existence of two common trends among non-housing non durable and housing consumption, financial and real estate wealth, and labour income (a proxy for human wealth). The first equilibrium relationship reflects the stationarity of the ratio of non-housing to housing consumption, while the second is associated to the long run stability of the consumption-wealth ratio. Consistently with a representative agent's budget constraint, the paper also shows that both trend deviations predict real total stock market returns over horizons ranging from 1 to 24 quarters: high non-housing relative to housing consumption anticipates declining returns, while high non-housing consumption relative to income and non-human wealth anticipates raising returns.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrea Finicelli, 2006. "Consumption, wealth, and expected asset returns in the United States. Implications of housing wealth and housing consumption," 2006 Meeting Papers 597, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    • Handle: RePEc:red:sed006:597
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    To our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
    1. Check below whether another version of this item is available online.
    2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
    3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Housing; asset pricing; equity return predictability;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:red:sed006:597. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Christian Zimmermann (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/sedddea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.