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The Social Insurance Perspective on Fiscal Policy: Implications for Monetary Policy

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  • David Romer

Abstract

This paper begins by reviewing the social insurance perspective on pandemic fiscal policy advocated by Romer and Romer (2022). It goes on to expand on Romer and Romer's discussion of insights from the social insurance perspective into how fiscal policy should respond to other recessions. It then turns to the implications for monetary policy. It shows that in the case of social insurance, the natural baseline is not coordination with fiscal policy, but a hierarchy of decisions: social insurance actions should be chosen first, followed by choices about conventional monetary policy, potentially followed by some combination of unconventional monetary policy and general fiscal stimulus. There are good reasons for monetary policy to not directly support the social insurance role of fiscal policy, but there is room for some exceptions.

Suggested Citation

  • David Romer, "undated". "The Social Insurance Perspective on Fiscal Policy: Implications for Monetary Policy," RBA Annual Conference Papers acp2025-04, Reserve Bank of Australia, revised Nov 2025.
  • Handle: RePEc:rba:rbaacp:acp2025-04
    Note: Paper presented at the RBA's annual conference 'Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interactions', Sydney, 4–5 September 2025.
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    File URL: https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/confs/2025/pdf/rba-conference-2025-david-romer.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Camille Landais & Pascal Michaillat & Emmanuel Saez, 2018. "A Macroeconomic Approach to Optimal Unemployment Insurance: Theory," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 10(2), pages 152-181, May.
    2. Michael Woodford, 2022. "Effective Demand Failures and the Limits of Monetary Stabilization Policy," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 112(5), pages 1475-1521, May.
    3. Kory Kroft & Matthew J. Notowidigdo, 2016. "Should Unemployment Insurance Vary with the Unemployment Rate? Theory and Evidence," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 83(3), pages 1092-1124.
    4. Veronica Guerrieri & Guido Lorenzoni & Ludwig Straub & Iván Werning, 2022. "Macroeconomic Implications of COVID-19: Can Negative Supply Shocks Cause Demand Shortages?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 112(5), pages 1437-1474, May.
    5. Camille Landais & Pascal Michaillat & Emmanuel Saez, 2018. "A Macroeconomic Approach to Optimal Unemployment Insurance: Applications," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 10(2), pages 182-216, May.
    6. Baily, Martin Neil, 1978. "Some aspects of optimal unemployment insurance," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 10(3), pages 379-402, December.
    7. Alisdair McKay & Ricardo Reis, 2016. "The Role of Automatic Stabilizers in the U.S. Business Cycle," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 84, pages 141-194, January.
    8. Hoynes, Hilary W. & Luttmer, Erzo F.P., 2011. "The insurance value of state tax-and-transfer programs," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(11), pages 1466-1484.
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