Duration Shares and the Distribution of Unemployment
This paper proposes a methodology for analyzing spell duration of unemployment in terms of duration shares. One can examine directly the shares of total unemployment accounted for by short and long spells. The approach extends recent theoretical work on statistical inference with distributional shares, and complements conventional methods of estimating density functions and their moments. Sampling, recall, censoring, truncation and seasonality are addressed through weighting adjustments in Lorenz curves. Illustrative results from quasi-longitudinal Canadian data suggest that important aspects of short average duration and substantial concentration of unemployment.
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