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Estimation of the Potential Economic Welfare Gains to SACU from Trade Facilitation

Author

Listed:
  • Glenn Jenkins

    (Queen's University)

  • Shahrzad Safaeimanesh

    (Eastern Mediteranean University)

Abstract

Trade facilitation is important for the South African Customs Union (SACU) countries because the expansion of international trade is a priority to enhance their economic growth. Unfortunately, the high trade compliance costs facing importers and exporters operating in SACU are in conflict with this objective. This article aims to quantify the annual economic welfare gains that the member countries of SACU could realize from reforms that would reduce the documentary and border compliance time and costs. We use a partial equilibrium welfare economics framework of up-to-date sets of general equilibrium estimates of the import demand and the export supply elasticity in a country. The impact on the volume of trade flow and economic welfare is quantified to reduce documentary and border compliance time and trade compliance costs. The economic welfare changes from reducing the documentary and border compliance time and costs for imports and exports would be between US$2.2 billion and US$3.7 billion (2018 prices), or between 0.54% and 0.90% of GDP of the SACU countries. The economic welfare gains from reducing the excess administrative costs in imports and exports of SACU members would be between US$2.2 billion and US$3.7 billion (2018 prices), or between 0.54% and 0.90% of the GDP of the SACU. The most important reforms needed to realize these cost savings, including a single-window administrative structure. In this case, both customs, health, welfare, and controls, as well as the payment of all duties, taxes, and licenses are handled by a single administrative office. Failure to move fast regarding such changes would have a negative impact on the well-being of SACU members.

Suggested Citation

  • Glenn Jenkins & Shahrzad Safaeimanesh, 2021. "Estimation of the Potential Economic Welfare Gains to SACU from Trade Facilitation," Working Paper 1462, Economics Department, Queen's University.
  • Handle: RePEc:qed:wpaper:1462
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    JEL classification:

    • D60 - Microeconomics - - Welfare Economics - - - General
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • O12 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Microeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O24 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Trade Policy; Factor Movement; Foreign Exchange Policy

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