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Nonparametric Option Pricing with Generalized Entropic Estimators

Author

Listed:
  • Caio Almeida

    (Princeton University)

  • Gustavo Freire

    (Erasmus School of Economics)

  • Rafael Azevedo

    (Getulio Vargas Foundation (FGV))

  • Kym Ardison

    (Getulio Vargas Foundation (FGV))

Abstract

We propose a family of nonparametric estimators for an option price that require only the use of underlying return data, but can also easily incorporate information from observed option prices. Each estimator comes from a risk-neutral measure minimizing generalized entropy according to a different Cressie-Read discrepancy. We apply our method to price S&P 500 options and the cross-section of individual equity options, using distinct amounts of option data in the estimation. Estimators incorporating mild nonlinearities produce optimal pricing accuracy within the Cressie-Read family and outperform several benchmarks such as the Black-Scholes and different GARCH option pricing models. Overall, we provide a powerful option pricing technique suitable for scenarios of limited option data availability.

Suggested Citation

  • Caio Almeida & Gustavo Freire & Rafael Azevedo & Kym Ardison, 2022. "Nonparametric Option Pricing with Generalized Entropic Estimators," Working Papers 2022-25, Princeton University. Economics Department..
  • Handle: RePEc:pri:econom:2022-25
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Risk-Neutral Measure; Option Pricing; Nonparametric Estimation; Generalized Entropy; Cressie-Read Discrepancies;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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