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A Tale of Two Anomalies: The Implication of Investor Attention for Price and Earnings Momentum

Author

Listed:
  • Kewei Hou

    (Ohio State University)

  • Lin Peng

    (City University of New York)

  • Wei Xiong

    (Princeton University)

Abstract

We examine the role of investor attention in explaining the profitability of price and earnings momentum strategies. Using trading volume and market state to measure cross-sectional and time-series variations of investor attention, we find that price momentum profits are higher among high volume stocks and in up markets, but that earnings momentum profits are higher among low volume stocks and in down markets. In the long run, price momentum profits reverse but earnings momentum profits do not. These results suggest that price underreaction to earnings news weakens with investor attention, but price continuation caused by investors’ overreaction strengthens with attention.

Suggested Citation

  • Kewei Hou & Lin Peng & Wei Xiong, 2009. "A Tale of Two Anomalies: The Implication of Investor Attention for Price and Earnings Momentum," Working Papers 2009-4, Princeton University. Economics Department..
  • Handle: RePEc:pri:econom:2009-4
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    File URL: http://wxiong.mycpanel.princeton.edu/papers/anomaly.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ardia, David & Bluteau, Keven & Boudt, Kris, 2022. "Media abnormal tone, earnings announcements, and the stock market," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    2. Lifang Li & Valentina Galvani, 2021. "Informed Trading and Momentum in the Corporate Bond Market [Asset pricing with liquidity risk]," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 25(6), pages 1773-1816.
    3. Yu, Hsin-Yi & Chen, Li-Wen & Chen, Chang-Yi, 2022. "The profitability effect: An evaluation of alternative explanations," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    4. Umar, Tarik, 2022. "Complexity aversion when SeekingAlpha," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(2).
    5. Hung, Weifeng & Lin, Ching-Ting & Yang, J. Jimmy, 2022. "Aggregate 52-week high, limited attention, and time-varying momentum profits," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    6. Alan Crane & Kevin Crotty & Tarik Umar, 2023. "Hedge Funds and Public Information Acquisition," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(6), pages 3241-3262, June.
    7. Foroutan, Parisa & Lahmiri, Salim, 2022. "The effect of COVID-19 pandemic on return-volume and return-volatility relationships in cryptocurrency markets," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    8. Wang, Jun & Song, Xiuna, 2022. "The effect of limited attention and risk attitude on left-tail reversal: Empirical results from a-share data in China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA).
    9. Alexander Nekrasov & Siew Hong Teoh & Shijia Wu, 2022. "Visuals and attention to earnings news on twitter," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 27(4), pages 1233-1275, December.
    10. Baltakys, Kęstutis & Kanniainen, Juho & Saramäki, Jari & Kivelä, Mikko, 2023. "Investor trade allocation patterns in stock markets," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 210(C), pages 191-209.
    11. Yuan, Ying & Fan, Xiaoqian & Li, Yiou, 2022. "Do local and non-local retail investor attention impact stock returns differently?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    12. Lee, Eun Jung & Lee, Yu Kyung & Kim, Ryumi, 2022. "Investor attention and the risk-return trade-off," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    13. Chi, Yeguang & He, Jingbin & Ma, Xinru & Wu, Fei, 2023. "Institutional investor inattention bias in auctioned IPOs," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    14. Chai, Daniel & Chiah, Mardy & Zhong, Angel & Li, Bob, 2022. "Another look at sources of momentum profits," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 310-323.
    15. Wu, Ming-Hung & Tsai, Wei-Che & Lu, Chia-Chi & Zhang, Hang, 2022. "Google searches around analyst recommendation revision announcements: Evidence from the Taiwan stock market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 75-97.
    16. Eom, Cheoljun & Eom, Yunsung & Park, Jong Won, 2023. "Left-tail momentum and tail properties of return distributions: A case of Korea," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    17. Yang, Baochen & Ye, Tao & Ma, Yao, 2022. "Financing anomaly, mispricing and cross-sectional return predictability," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 579-598.
    18. Xin Chen & Wei He & Libin Tao & Jianfeng Yu, 2023. "Attention and Underreaction-Related Anomalies," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(1), pages 636-659, January.
    19. Christophe J. GODLEWSKI & Katarzyna BYRKA-KITA & Renata GOLA & Jacek CYPRYJANSKI, 2022. "Silence is not golden anymore? Social media activity and stock market valuation in Europe," Working Papers of LaRGE Research Center 2022-04, Laboratoire de Recherche en Gestion et Economie (LaRGE), Université de Strasbourg.
    20. Gao, Huasheng & Liu, Zhengkai & Yang, Chloe Chunliu, 2023. "Individual investors’ trading behavior and gender difference in tolerance of sex crimes: Evidence from a natural experiment," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 349-368.
    21. Guiqiang Shi & Dehua Shen & Zhaobo Zhu, 2024. "Herding towards carbon neutrality: The role of investor attention," Post-Print hal-04348526, HAL.
    22. Alejandro Bernales & Marcela Valenzuela & Ilknur Zer, 2023. "Effects of Information Overload on Financial Markets: How Much Is Too Much?," International Finance Discussion Papers 1372, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    23. Wang, Chen & Shen, Dehua & Li, Youwei, 2022. "Aggregate Investor Attention and Bitcoin Return: The Long Short-term Memory Networks Perspective," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Price Momentum Strategies; Earnings Momentum Strategies; Investors;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity

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