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Estimating the Likelihood of Winning Parliamentary Constituencies

Author

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  • Borooah, Vani

Abstract

Borooah compares the two major protagonists in Indian elections – the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and the Indian National Congress (INC) with respect to their respective probabilities of winning constituency battles. He provides estimates of such probabilities and shows how these differ between the BJP and the INC both with respect to marginal constituencies and with respect to all constituencies where the BJP and the INC went ‘head-to-head’. Lastly, he considers the electoral performances of the INC and the BJP separately for the Hindi-speaking and the non-Hindi speaking major Indian states.

Suggested Citation

  • Borooah, Vani, 2014. "Estimating the Likelihood of Winning Parliamentary Constituencies," MPRA Paper 76615, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:76615
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/76615/1/MPRA_paper_76615.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bharatiya Janata Party; Indian National Congress; Marginal Constituencies; Logit Estimation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • P16 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Capitalist Economies - - - Capitalist Institutions; Welfare State

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