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A Simulation of the Illegal Coal Mining in Quang Ninh Province, Vietnam using Vensim

Author

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  • Phan, Tuan

Abstract

Using Vensim PLE, this paper provides a simulation of the illegal coal mining in Quang Ninh province, Vietnam. Examining the three main loops including need for income effect, government enforcement and coal management effects and other effects (illegal density, technology, community and psychological effects), the paper sketches several scenarios under different levels of the key variables. Obtaining these results, the paper suggests a better scene in terms of socio-economic and environmental sustainability basing on the two major components. First, the government authorities should urge the enforcement and revise the coal management. Second, the community should have more active activities to abolish the illegal mining trend and raise effectively warnings about the danger of the illegal mining. Those parallel implementations shall create a surprisingly positive effect on the reduction of illegal coal mining in the province.

Suggested Citation

  • Phan, Tuan, 2008. "A Simulation of the Illegal Coal Mining in Quang Ninh Province, Vietnam using Vensim," MPRA Paper 54068, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Mar 2013.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:54068
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/54068/1/MPRA_paper_54068.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    illegal coal mining; simulation; Vietnam;

    JEL classification:

    • Q32 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Exhaustible Resources and Economic Development
    • Q38 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Government Policy (includes OPEC Policy)

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